Nigeria and Morocco are set to meet at the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) for the sixth time, renewing a rivalry that has consistently delivered decisive outcomes, with all five of their previous AFCON encounters producing a winner.

The match marks their first AFCON meeting in 22 years and only the second time the two sides are facing off in a semi-final. Their last knockout clash at the tournament came in 1980, when Nigeria edged Morocco 1-0, courtesy of an early ninth-minute strike from Felix Owolabi, on their way to winning their first AFCON title.

Historically, most of their AFCON meetings have come in the group stages. Four of their five previous encounters were played in the group phase, including two matches in 1976, followed by meetings in 2000 and 2004. Their first AFCON clash dates back to 1976, when Morocco won both group-stage matches 3-1 and 2-1 en route to lifting their first and only continental title.

The teams met again in 2000, when Nigeria knocked Morocco out in their final Group D match with a 2-0 win, goals coming from Finidi George and Julius Aghahowa. Their most recent AFCON meeting was in 2004, when Morocco secured a 1-0 group-stage victory, with Youssef Hadji scoring the decisive goal in the 77th minute.

Overall, this will be the 12th meeting between the two nations in all competitions. Morocco hold the historical advantage with six wins, compared to Nigeria’s three, while two matches have ended in draws. Those draws came during qualification for the 1984 AFCON, with both legs ending 0-0 before Nigeria progressed on penalties.

The semi-final also adds another chapter to Nigeria’s long history of facing tournament hosts. The Super Eagles have previously played host or co-host nations on ten occasions at AFCON, recording three wins, three draws and four losses. This will be the second tournament in a row in which Nigeria face the hosts, having played Côte d’Ivoire in both the group stage and final of the 2023 edition—winning 1-0 in the group stage before losing 2-1 in the final.

Nigeria’s victories against hosts have included wins over Senegal in the 1992 group stage, Mali in the 2002 third-place match, and Côte d’Ivoire in the 2023 group stage. However, they have also suffered notable defeats, including two losses to Algeria in the 1990 tournament, a quarter-final defeat to Ghana in 2008, and the 2023 final loss to Côte d’Ivoire.

In AFCON knockout matches against host nations, Nigeria have managed just one win, against Mali in 2002. They have otherwise lost three times in open play and once on penalties, including a semi-final shootout defeat to Tunisia in 2004.

Statistically, the Nigeria–Morocco rivalry at AFCON has often come alive after the break, with seven of the 11 goals scored in their five tournament meetings arriving in the second half—an indicator that this latest encounter could once again be decided in the latter stages.