African governments challenged to rethink fiscal policy as part of economic recovery

African governments have been challenged to rethink revenue mobilisation strategies as the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic continues to exacerbate debt stress levels across the continent. This was said during the Plenary Session of the African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) Biannual Research Workshop held under the theme of “Covid-19 Pandemic and Public Finance in Africa: Challenges and Opportunities”, on Monday 31st May 2021.

Speaking at the event, World Bank Group Vice President and Chief Economist Prof. Carmen Reinhart said most economies across the world, inclusive of several African countries entered the pandemic when they were at high risk of or in debt distress levels occasioned by rising debts, slowing growth and weak financial conditions.

“The Covid-19 pandemic has exacerbated the challenges that existed before the pandemic, worsening the debt situation even further. The need to spend more on public health and social safety nets programmes coupled with a slowdown in economic activities are all exerting considerable pressure on government finances,” Prof. Reinhart said.

“Several governments across the continent are forced to run wide fiscal deficits that are slowly translating into increasing debt and debt distress.”

“Covid 19 has been an exceptionally regressive crisis. It’s regressive within countries and regressive across countries,” she added.

Since 2020, the Covid-19 crisis has deepened and continues to affect the broader economy and people’s livelihoods. This has forced various governments across the continent to roll out various programmes to support the adversely impacted households, whilst financing its operations and public service. Unfortunately, many African countries have relatively high levels of debt and that means that they do not have enough fiscal resources to respond to the crisis and to help people, leading to debt stress levels.

“We are facing a more protracted downtime as conditions haven’t normalised tourism, cross-border activities, and other key sectors of the economy. In Africa, the income per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is not going to recover to its pre-crisis levels in 2021, thus the biggest challenge of avoiding debt looms very largely.” Against this backdrop, Prof. Reinhart highlighted the following policy priorities going forward:

• Debt restructuring – borrowing from the historical debt restructuring lessons.

• Resource mobilisation by tackling fiscal problems through austerity measures.

• Widening of the revenue base to help reduce the debt levels and finance social services amidst the pandemic.

• Building safety nets through digital financial platforms to enable effective distribution of the government benefits.

• Climate financing – Engaging green finance while tackling climate-related risks that have been accumulating over time.

On his part, AERC Executive Director Prof. Njuguna Ndung’u said the pandemic has exposed the structural vulnerabilities of most African countries from health financing, health infrastructure, social safety nets, economic diversification, and public finance. “The negative effects of the Covid-19 pandemic are visible in all the African regions, but most affected are in southern and western Africa,” Prof. Ndung’u said.

“Some African countries have fared better than others depending on their initial conditions. The countries that were already having debt distress fared even worse, he added.”

AERC Executive Director Prof. Njuguna Ndung’u in a past event.

Due to the devastating impact of the pandemic, African economies are witnessing the reversals in the gains made over the last 20 years in terms of poverty reduction and employment creation.

Across the continent, millions of people are going without jobs, cost of living has increased. Interestingly the pandemic has brought out the capacity of citizens to help each other. Private Citizens mobilize resources to uplift the poor, the needy, and to defray medical expenses for the sick.

“There’s an opportunity to institute strong social protection programmes in Africa to ensure support for the poorest and cushion against those marginalised and future negative shocks- but dependent on fiscal space,” He noted.

The 54th plenary session of the AERC Biannual Research Workshop set the context for deliberations on a broad range of issues including challenges and opportunities in reforming the state of public finance in Africa.

Special Session in Honour of Prof. Benno Ndulu

Led by Jeffrey Fine, the Founding Executive Director of the AERC, various speakers made their contributions in the Special Session that was organized to honor Prof. Benno Ndulu, one of the most celebrated academic in Africa, policy leader and founder of AERC.

The late Prof. Ndulu, passed away on the 22nd February 2021. Benno, a celebrated Economist, Mentor and Scholar, was the first Director of Research and the first African Executive Director of the AERC. He was also a member of the AERC Board, Chair of the AERC Programme Committee, founder member of the AERC African Central Bank Governors’ Forum, thought leader and paper presenter and discussant at AERC policy workshops. His commitment and dedication to the AERC and its mandate to build research capacity in Africa is highly commendable.