Sakaja’s TIFA polls a mockery to research standards and science

Pollsters are an important tool during the electioneering period across the world.

The research findings if well done sway minds,tilt perceptions and set the agenda for the leading contenders in the respective contests.

Yesterday,TIFA, one of the leading pollsters released some findings that have sparked alot of debate and raised questions on the credibility of the hypothetical figures thrown around in favor of certain aspirants.

A credible poll will not just throw around blanket figures without offering finer details that inform the choices made by responses.It cannot go against the traditional factors that inform decision making in certain jurisdictions.

For instance,the findings on the Nairobi gubernatorial race was utter shambolic and a mockery to the intelligence of any post primary school graduate.

According to the pedestrian findings peddled around by TIFA, senator Sakaja will be elected the governor if elections were held today.It handpicks Tim Wanyonyi for the second position then throws in current Ann Kananu as the third favourite and deliberately brings in late Richard Ngatia in the fourth position.

A few things emerge in the findings above and we can dissect them one by one. First of all,the findings are aimed at shamefully dismantling the agenda and perception created by both the mainstream and alternative media that Nairobi’s gubernatorial contest is purely a contest of the leading contestants within the Azimio La Umoja movement.

There is no doubt that leaders, political observers and opinion shapers have hinted at the possibility of Richard Ngatia being the Azimio La Umoja candidate with Tim Wanyonyi not far from it.The debate around the two is what has shaped political conversations in malls,matatus, newsrooms,estates and even outside the city.

The only time the Kenya Kwanza wing came close to sparking a gubernatorial debate in their favor is when senator Sakaja and former Starehe MP Margaret Wanjiru almost engaged in a fist fight at a rally in Westlands.

Secondly,the findings are deliberately, without any scientific reasons aimed at positioning Sakaja as the favourite pick for the Kenya Kwanza wing at the expense of Margaret Wanjiru who started her gubernatorial campaigns more than one year ago.That the current governor is positioned ahead of Margaret Wanjiru should be enough reason to throw the shoddy findings down the drains of Nairobi River.

Thirdly,the findings are aimed at prevailing upon the Azimio wing to present Wanyonyi as the ultimate opponent to Sakaja, a contest Sakaja believes he can win.

No one needs glasses to know that the findings were doctored at the comfort of Sakaja’s KICC offices.

In the findings,ODM and Raila Odinga have been fronted as the most popular in Nairobi while ANC where Sakaja belongs is nowhere in the top four.This is not to say that the brave senator is not popular in the capital.He is but everything has limits.

In the orderlies given to TIFA from Sakaja,all UDA aspirants for the three top seats have been deemed favourite.This ridiculously includes the senatorial race where controversial socialite Karen Nyamu has been bandied around as the favourite to clinch the seat.The findings relegates ODM dynamite Edwin Sifuna to a nobody, floating him as a beginner with a meager 3% as imposed by Sakaja.What a shame.

Perhaps when TIFA are paid to do the next findings,they will be sober enough not to brandish with shame the name they had previously built.

As for senator Sakaja, the TIFA mindgames won’t help him.

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